A betting odds calculator and converter multiplies the stake by the odds to determine the potential profit on your sports betting wagers. Simply enter your stakes and odds, and our tools will tell you how much profit you should expect to receive using American, fractional or decimal odds. This is simply because most sports bettors are not familiar with how they work, or how to bet them properly. In this article, I’ll address parlay betting strategies, but first let’s look at parlay.
A parlay is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers for a high payout. A 2 team parlay might pay 13/5, a three team parlay might pay 6/1, a four team parlay might pay 10/1, and so forth with the payouts getting higher with more teams or totals selected. For a single bet, 2 to 8 teams or totals can be selected.
In order for the parlay bet to win, every one of the wagers must win or push (tie). If any of the selections lose, your wager loses, regardless of the outcome or cancellation of the other games. If one or more selections is a tie, postponed, incomplete, cancelled or rescheduled for another day, then the wager reverts to the next lowest number. For example, if you place a 5 team parlay and have 4 winners and a tie, your wager pays out as a 4 team parlay. If you place a 2 team parlay and one team wins and one ties, the wager becomes a straight bet.
The resulting wager will have the same risk amount with the win being calculated to reflect the odds of the remaining team (Example: On a two team $100 parlay with team A +110 and team B -110 if A ties and B wins the resulting wager will be a straight play on B risking $100 to win $91).
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By entering your bankroll, the odds and your estimated probability of winning, the Kelly Criterion calculator will tell you how much you should wager on a certain event to maximise your value and profit.
0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1 |
According to the Kelly criterion, you should place a wager of approximately 1.18% of your account balance on this selection.
After applying the fractional Kelly value of 0.04, this adjusts to a wager of approximately 1.71% of your account balance.
Based on your account balance of $1,000, this equates to a wager of $11.76.
The expected value of this wager is approximately $11.76*[(0.68)(0.60) + (-1)(0.4)] = $0.09, which equates to a 0.80% return on the funds wagered.
The Kelly criterion returned a value of -0.0061.
After applying the fractional Kelly value of 0.0, this adjusts to -0.0061 of your account balance.
Because this number is below 0 you should not back the selection at the available odds.
The Kelly Criterion is a method by which you can used your assessed probability of an event occurring in conjunction with the odds for the event and your bankroll, to work out how much to wager on the event to maximise your value. By inputting the odds, the probability of the event occurring and your betting balance, you will be able to determine the amount you should wager on the event. The fractional Kelly betting input is a way to change how aggressive or conservative you are with your wagering (1 being the standard and moving towards 0 the more conservative you wish to be with your wagering). Ultimately, the Kelly Criterion calculator, if you are accurate with your assessed probability should increase your value and profit over a long-term period.